Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.035960 0.041774 0.048232 0.055935 0.064879 0.074938 0.087117
2025-12-07 0.026544 0.034055 0.043253 0.055351 0.070862 0.090103 0.115827
2025-12-14 0.020639 0.028563 0.039018 0.053836 0.074332 0.101737 0.141269
2025-12-21 0.016680 0.024560 0.035613 0.052268 0.076785 0.111648 0.165183
2025-12-28 0.014516 0.022549 0.034427 0.053297 0.082613 0.126580 0.197852
2026-01-04 0.012667 0.020636 0.032984 0.053549 0.087066 0.139779 0.229459
2026-01-11 0.011165 0.018992 0.031650 0.053653 0.091116 0.152635 0.262014
2026-01-18 0.010057 0.017806 0.030839 0.054411 0.096200 0.167625 0.299905
2026-01-25 0.009238 0.016977 0.030483 0.055832 0.102504 0.185315 0.344660
2026-02-01 0.008071 0.015360 0.028524 0.054104 0.102898 0.192561 0.371386
2026-02-08 0.007262 0.014285 0.027392 0.053713 0.105636 0.204281 0.407841
2026-02-15 0.006547 0.013292 0.026275 0.053180 0.107980 0.215447 0.444533
2026-02-22 0.006077 0.012731 0.025944 0.054198 0.113618 0.233901 0.498784
2026-03-01 0.005493 0.011864 0.024900 0.053631 0.115957 0.246057 0.541726
2026-03-08 0.004898 0.010893 0.023517 0.052163 0.116183 0.253820 0.576241
2026-03-15 0.004374 0.010004 0.022194 0.050644 0.116074 0.260805 0.609899
2026-03-22 0.004111 0.009664 0.022014 0.051641 0.121712 0.281072 0.676585
2026-03-29 0.003817 0.009214 0.021536 0.051884 0.125631 0.297911 0.737455
2026-04-05 0.003544 0.008776 0.021026 0.051985 0.129213 0.314386 0.799656
2026-04-12 0.003336 0.008470 0.020792 0.052719 0.134427 0.335378 0.875951
2026-04-19 0.003183 0.008282 0.020816 0.054096 0.141421 0.361581 0.969162
2026-04-26 0.002877 0.007662 0.019700 0.052423 0.140370 0.367446 1.009715
2026-05-03 0.002667 0.007268 0.019108 0.052043 0.142672 0.382218 1.076325